Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Lancashire have won the last two meetings between these sides. In the most recent clash, Lancashire won with 9 balls remaining after chasing down the target with seven wickets in hand. That finish was defined by Lancashire keeping wickets intact deep into the chase. The earlier meeting was also tight, with Lancashire edging it by five runs, reinforcing a recent pattern of Lancashire finding ways to win close games in this matchup.

LALancashire W 124/3

WAWarwickshire W 123/7

2025-07-06 · LAN-W won by 7 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

WAWarwickshire W 157/9

LALancashire W 162/7

2025-06-08 · LAN-W won by 5 runs

Lancashire W

Lancashire are 7th in the T20BW regular season with 5 points. They come in on a three-match losing run, with the latest defeat coming after they were beaten with 25 balls still left in the chase. The recent pattern has been Lancashire falling short in competitive totals and then being outpaced late.

LALancashire W 130/7

HAHampshire W 133/2

2026-06-09 · HAM-W won by 8 wickets (with 25 balls remaining)

LALancashire W 120/10

TBThe Blaze W 135/9

2026-06-07 · TB-W won by 15 runs

LALancashire W 128/8

ESEssex W 132/4

2026-05-31 · ESS-W won by 6 wickets (with 13 balls remaining)

Warwickshire W

Warwickshire are 8th in the T20BW regular season with 4 points. They arrive off a confidence-boosting 42-run win, after back-to-back defeats in their two games before that. The key question is whether that big win was a one-off spike or the start of a turnaround.

WAWarwickshire W 172/5

SUSurrey W 130/10

2026-06-26 · WAR-W won by 42 runs

WAWarwickshire W 123/8

SOSomerset W 126/5

2026-06-07 · SOM-W won by 5 wickets (with 22 balls remaining)

WAWarwickshire W 138/5

TBThe Blaze W 151/7

2026-06-05 · TB-W won by 11 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Models are split but lean Lancashire at 53% on average, with three of four models backing LAN-W while the Math model favours WAR-W. Bookmakers align with the lean to Lancashire, pricing LAN-W at 55% (1.72) vs WAR-W at 45% (2.05). Key stats narrowly favour Lancashire 4-3, driven by the head-to-head edge and slightly better season position. The match likely turns on whether Lancashire can arrest their current slide, or whether Warwickshire’s last-game surge carries over.