

Match Prediction
Derbyshire come in 14th in the T20B Regular Season with 8 points and a 2W-4L record. Yorkshire are 4th with 16 points and a 4W-3L record. Derbyshire’s last three include two defeats while chasing, while Yorkshire’s last three include two losses despite a huge win in between. The gap in points makes this a pressure game for Derbyshire to keep pace.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Derbyshire have won 2 of the last 3 meetings with Yorkshire. In the most recent meeting last month, Yorkshire edged it by 2 wickets with 4 balls remaining in a one-run finish. The game turned on Yorkshire getting over the line in a tight chase rather than a comfortable margin. Across these three games, results have swung both ways, with Derbyshire taking two wins and Yorkshire snatching the latest thriller.
Derbyshire
Derbyshire are 14th in the T20B Regular Season on 8 points. Their last three have been uneven: one big win, then back-to-back losses where they fell short in chases. The most telling result is the defeat to Nottinghamshire after being set 184, where Derbyshire couldn’t finish the chase.
Yorkshire
Yorkshire are 4th in the T20B Regular Season on 16 points. Their last three swing from a 106-run demolition of Lancashire to two straight defeats, including a last-ball loss to Hampshire. The clearest signal is that they can dominate, but they’ve also been dragged into tight finishes and come out second recently.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Yorkshire, with the average at YOR 59% vs DER 41%. Bookmakers agree, pricing Yorkshire at 61% (1.57) vs Derbyshire at 39% (2.40). Key stats lean heavily to Yorkshire overall (6-1), driven by the broader season edge and stronger economy profile. Derbyshire’s counterweight is the recent H2H advantage, but Yorkshire’s overall numbers make them the favourite.
Revis’ last-over surge falls short
Matthew Revis’ 32-ball 69 threatened to steal it at the death, but the chase ended in a deadlock: Yorkshire finished 215/8 to exactly match Derbyshire’s 215/9. The decisive moment came in the 20th over, when the equation tightened to a single-ball verdict — Yorkshire couldn’t find the boundary they needed to go past, and Derbyshire couldn’t land the knockout blow to keep them short.
Derbyshire’s powerplay sets tone
The clearest swing came up front, when Derbyshire blasted 73/2 in the powerplay and forced Yorkshire into catch-up mode. That early acceleration, built around Wayne Madsen’s 62 off 33 and Martin Andersson’s 51 off 27, gave Derbyshire a platform that survived a messy finish: only 33 runs came in the last five overs as wickets fell and the innings stuttered. Yet those powerplay gains mattered because they left Yorkshire chasing a steep rate from the start.
Tye’s strikes, Madsen’s base
Andrew Tye’s 3/36 was the key reason Derbyshire didn’t run away with it; his wickets kept dragging the innings back just as it threatened to crest. Madsen and Andersson supplied the bulk of Derbyshire’s score at high tempo, but their death-overs slowdown left the door ajar. Revis then kicked it open with clean, high-risk hitting, yet even his acceleration couldn’t create separation — the final over became a scramble for parity, and that’s exactly where it ended.
Pre-match edge meets messy reality
Yorkshire arrived with the numbers in their favour — stronger season indicators and a better projected death economy — but this game flipped into a contest of timing and momentum. Their top order slipped to 53/3 in the powerplay, erasing much of that pre-match cushion, and the chase became dependent on one explosive stand to repair the damage. Derbyshire’s recent head-to-head confidence showed in how hard they attacked early, and the match turned into a late-overs shootout where a single ball decided only that it would be level.
NONottinghamshire
183/6
DEDerbyshire
173/9
ESEssex
179/5
DEDerbyshire
173/10
DEDerbyshire
234/4
NONottinghamshire
211/6
LELeicestershire
145/10
DEDerbyshire
230/5
YOYorkshire
195/8
DEDerbyshire
194/4
DEDerbyshire
197/8
DUDurham
203/8
DEDerbyshire
106/10
WAWarwickshire
233/5
YOYorkshire
151/9
DEDerbyshire
157/2
NONorthamptonshire
237/4
DEDerbyshire
224/6
DEDerbyshire
162/6
WOWorcestershire
174/6
DE6
YO4
YOYorkshire
195/8
DEDerbyshire
194/4
YOYorkshire
151/9
DEDerbyshire
157/2
DEDerbyshire
201/3
YOYorkshire
200/6
DEDerbyshire
131/3
YOYorkshire
130/9
YOYorkshire
182/1
DEDerbyshire
179/6
DEDerbyshire
212/4
YOYorkshire
68/10
YOYorkshire
170/3
DEDerbyshire
166/8
DEDerbyshire
105/4
YOYorkshire
175/10
YOYorkshire
83/3
DEDerbyshire
87/1
YOYorkshire
174/6
DEDerbyshire
135/10
HAHampshire
155/8
YOYorkshire
150/10
LELeicestershire
147/8
YOYorkshire
135/10
YOYorkshire
213/7
LALancashire
107/10
YOYorkshire
161/10
GLGloucestershire
217/6
DUDurham
93/10
YOYorkshire
151/9
YOYorkshire
195/8
DEDerbyshire
194/4
NONottinghamshire
167/7
YOYorkshire
169/3
LELeicestershire
185/10
YOYorkshire
188/8
YOYorkshire
153/10
LALancashire
174/10
YOYorkshire
151/9
DEDerbyshire
157/2
NOR
8
8-0
32
HAM
8
6-2
24
NOT
9
6-3
24
YOR
9
5-3
22
SUR
8
5-3
20
GLO
8
5-3
20
GLA
8
5-3
20
ESS
9
5-4
20
WOR
9
5-4
20
KEN
9
4-5
16
LAN
9
4-5
16
DUR
8
3-5
12
WAR
9
3-6
12
SOM
8
3-5
12
LEI
8
3-5
12
DER
8
2-5
10
SUS
9
2-7
8
MID
8
1-7
4
NOR
8
8
0
—
+2.142
32
HAM
8
6
2
—
+0.594
24
NOT
9
6
3
—
+0.199
24
YOR
9
5
3
—
+0.750
22
SUR
8
5
3
—
+0.734
20
GLO
8
5
3
—
+0.526
20
GLA
8
5
3
—
+0.467
20
ESS
9
5
4
—
+0.149
20
WOR
9
5
4
—
-0.043
20
KEN
9
4
5
—
-0.418
16
LAN
9
4
5
—
-0.605
16
DUR
8
3
5
—
+0.396
12
WAR
9
3
6
—
+0.209
12
SOM
8
3
5
—
-0.563
12
LEI
8
3
5
—
-1.344
12
DER
8
2
5
—
+0.446
10
SUS
9
2
7
—
-1.487
8
MID
8
1
7
—
-2.002
4
NORWWWWW
HAMWWWWL
NOTWWWWW
YORWLLDW
SURLWLWW
GLOWWWLL
GLAWLWWW
ESSWWLLW
WORLLLWW
KENLLLWL
LANLWWWL
DURLLLWL
WARLWWWL
SOMLLLWL
LEIWWWLL
DERWLLDL
SUSLWLLL
MIDLLLLL
