Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Essex W have won the last two meetings against Durham W. In the most recent match, Essex W defended 164/3 and kept Durham W to 155/8, with the game staying tight to the end. Durham W finished eight down in the chase, and Essex W held on in a 9-run result. The pattern so far is one-way: two games, two Essex W wins.

ESEssex W 164/3

DUDurham W 155/8

2025-07-18 · ESS-W won by 9 runs

DUDurham W 101/8

ESEssex W 105/4

2025-06-20 · ESS-W won by 6 wickets (with 18 balls remaining)

Durham W

Durham W are 3rd in the T20BW Regular Season on 30 points, currently in the playoff zone. Their last two matches were controlled chases, including a 7-wicket win with 39 balls remaining. Even in their one recent defeat, it came by 8 wickets with 19 balls remaining, making their recent run a mix of dominant wins and a clear setback.

DUDurham W 148/5

TBThe Blaze W 147/9

2026-07-05 · DUR-W won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

DUDurham W 80/3

LALancashire W 79/10

2026-07-03 · DUR-W won by 7 wickets (with 39 balls remaining)

DUDurham W 128/7

HAHampshire W 131/2

2026-06-28 · HAM-W won by 8 wickets (with 19 balls remaining)

Essex W

Essex W are 6th in the T20BW Regular Season with 17 points, outside the playoff zone. Their last three matches have swung between a 9-wicket win with 5 balls remaining and two tight defeats, including a 2-wicket loss with 1 ball remaining. The recent feel is volatility: they can post big totals, but they have not consistently closed games.

ESEssex W 177/5

SOSomerset W 178/8

2026-07-07 · SOM-W won by 2 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

ESEssex W 185/1

SUSurrey W 184/4

2026-07-05 · ESS-W won by 9 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

ESEssex W 116/8

WAWarwickshire W 119/5

2026-07-01 · WAR-W won by 5 wickets (with 24 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Durham W, with the average probability at 69% for DUR-W. Bookmakers also lean Durham W, pricing DUR-W at 57% (1.65) vs ESS-W at 43% (2.15). Key stats favour Durham W 5-1 overall, driven by the stronger season position and efficiency indicators, but Essex W’s two straight head-to-head wins keep the matchup from being straightforward. The likely hinge is whether Durham W’s broader season edge overrides Essex W’s recent ability to finish this specific matchup.

Scrivens owns the chase

Grace Scrivens took control when the chase could have wobbled, pacing Essex W’s innings with a calm, high-value 85 off 64 to seal a 12-run win over Durham W. After Durham scrambled momentum late, Scrivens ensured Essex never had to panic, absorbing the quieter overs and then lifting the tempo when the target came into view. Even when wickets fell around her, the chase stayed on her terms.

Powerplay platform sets it up

The game was effectively shaped in the first six overs of each innings. Durham’s 31/2 in the powerplay left them rebuilding, while Essex’s 41/0 meant the asking rate was immediately manageable. That gap let Essex bat through the middle without forcing shots: they matched Durham’s middle-overs rate (77/2 at 7.7) but did it from a stronger base, and the finish became about control rather than risk.

Scrivens-Bosch break the back

Scrivens’ defining support act was Anneke Bosch, whose 48 off 37 powered a 94-run partnership that carried Essex through the decisive middle stretch. Durham did find a foothold through Katherine Fraser’s 2/18, and Hollie Armitage’s 43 kept their total competitive, but Essex’s top-order composure meant the chase didn’t hinge on a final-over scramble.

Pre-match edge, on-field twist

Durham came in with the stronger season profile and home comfort, but this match flipped on execution with the new ball. Essex’s bowlers got early movement and decisions, and Durham were pushed into a catch-up innings despite a strong death phase (41 runs in the last four). With Essex already ahead of the rate from the powerplay, Durham’s usual efficiency advantages never got a chance to bite.