Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Nottinghamshire have won 2 of the last 3 meetings with Leicestershire. In the most recent clash, Nottinghamshire won by 74 runs after posting 209/4 and bowling Leicestershire out for 135. That game was defined by Leicestershire being dismissed for 135 in the chase. Across the last three meetings, results have swung between a Nottinghamshire blowout and two tight finishes.

LELeicestershire 135/10

NONottinghamshire 209/4

2026-06-28 · NOT won by 74 runs

NONottinghamshire 189/9

LELeicestershire 188/2

2025-07-06 · NOT won by 1 wicket (with 1 ball remaining)

LELeicestershire 160/6

NONottinghamshire 156/10

2025-06-19 · LEI won by 4 wickets (with 14 balls remaining)

Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire are 3rd in the T20B Regular Season on 28 points with a 7W-3L record. They are on a three-match winning streak, and their last two wins were decided by 2 runs and 1 run. The recent pattern is Nottinghamshire closing out tight games under pressure.

NONottinghamshire 166/8

DUDurham 164/6

2026-07-05 · NOT won by 2 runs

NONottinghamshire 181/6

LALancashire 180/7

2026-07-03 · NOT won by 1 runs

NONottinghamshire 209/4

LELeicestershire 135/10

2026-06-28 · NOT won by 74 runs

Leicestershire

Leicestershire are 17th in the T20B Regular Season on 12 points with a 3W-7L record. They have lost their last three matches, including an eight-wicket defeat in their most recent game. The recent trend is losses that are getting away from them rather than going down to the wire.

LELeicestershire 156/8

DUDurham 160/2

2026-07-08 · DUR won by 8 wickets (with 30 balls remaining)

LELeicestershire 166/9

YOYorkshire 207/4

2026-07-05 · YOR won by 41 runs

LELeicestershire 135/10

NONottinghamshire 209/4

2026-06-28 · NOT won by 74 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Nottinghamshire, with the average projection at 73% for NOT. Bookmakers align with that view, pricing NOT at 64% (1.47) vs LEI at 36% (2.60). Key stats heavily favour Nottinghamshire 7-1, driven by the standings gap and the contrast in recent results. The match narrative is Nottinghamshire’s current ability to win close games versus Leicestershire trying to halt a three-match losing run.

Linde’s squeeze breaks Leicestershire

George Linde’s left-arm spell was the hinge: he kept taking pace off just as Leicestershire tried to reset, and Nottinghamshire never let the innings breathe again. Even with Stevie Eskinazi batting through for 52, Leicestershire were held to 143 for 7, and Notts’ chase was paced well enough to finish at 149 for 4 with 10 balls remaining.

Middle overs shut the door

The game swung in the middle phase. Leicestershire flew to 54 for 2 in the powerplay, but from overs 7–15 they managed only 67 for 4, losing momentum and wickets together. That squeeze meant the death overs became a scramble rather than a launch: just 22 runs came in the last five, leaving a total that always felt a touch light once Nottinghamshire’s top order got through the new ball.

Moores sets, Linde seals

Moores’ 51 off 33 was the chase’s statement, taking the pressure off after the early exchanges and ensuring Notts were never chasing the game. Joe Clarke’s 31 provided the other burst of tempo that kept the asking rate honest. But the match belonged to Linde: his 3 for 31 in four overs turned a promising start into a below-par finish, and Nottinghamshire cashed in.

Form lines up with finish

Pre-match, Nottinghamshire’s recent run of wins suggested they’d handle the key moments better, and that’s exactly where this was decided. Leicestershire had enough intent early, but their three-match slide showed in the way the innings stalled once the field spread and the slower balls arrived. Nottinghamshire, by contrast, absorbed the only real wobble in the chase and kept the required rate under control.