Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Surrey lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent meeting, Kent chased down a small target with 36 balls remaining to win by eight wickets. Surrey were dismissed for 116, and Kent’s chase finished with eight wickets in hand. Across the last three, results have swung both ways, including one match decided on the final ball.

SUSurrey 116/10

KEKent 118/2

2026-05-31 · KEN won by 8 wickets (with 36 balls remaininig)

SUSurrey 173/6

KEKent 171/7

2025-06-12 · SUR won by 4 wicets (with 0 ball remaining)

KEKent 151/9

SUSurrey 193/7

2025-06-06 · SUR won by 42 runs

Kent

Kent are #14 on 16 points in the T20B Regular Season, currently outside the playoff zone. Their recent form has turned into a slide, with two losses in the last three and both defeats ending in being bowled out. The most telling result was the 83-run defeat to Worcestershire where Kent were dismissed for 59.

KEKent 171/10

HAHampshire 190/3

2026-07-05 · HAM won by 19 runs

KEKent 59/10

WOWorcestershire 142/7

2026-07-03 · WOR won by 83 runs

KEKent 181/3

HAHampshire 176/6

2026-06-28 · KEN won by 7 wickets (with 8 balls remaining)

Surrey

Surrey are #6 on 24 points in the T20B Regular Season, currently in the playoff zone. Their last three show bounce-back form, with two wins around one heavy defeat. The most telling result was the eight-wicket win over Sussex, completed with 16 balls remaining after restricting Sussex to 176/7.

SUSurrey 177/2

SUSussex 176/7

2026-07-08 · SUR won by 8 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

SUSurrey 134/10

GLGloucestershire 191/5

2026-07-04 · GLO won by 57 runs

SUSurrey 240/4

ESEssex 233/8

2026-07-01 · SUR won by 7 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Surrey, with the average projection at SUR 64% vs KEN 36% (range 59–68% for Surrey). Bookmakers agree, pricing Surrey at 60% (1.57) vs Kent at 40% (2.35). Key stats favour Surrey 6-1 overall, driven by their stronger season position and better recent results. Kent’s path is to flip the script through their one clear edge in the powerplay economy, but Surrey’s broader momentum and profile still set the baseline.

Clark snaps the momentum

Jordan Clark’s spell was the hinge: once Kent’s openers had Surrey on the back foot, he struck to start a collapse that never stopped. Kent were bundled out for 102 in 17 overs, and Surrey’s response was ruthless, cruising to 106/1 in 8.5 overs to win by nine wickets with 67 balls remaining.

Middle overs meltdown

Kent’s powerplay was competitive at 48/1 (8.0 rpo), built around a 47-run opening stand, but the match flipped in the middle overs. They managed only 50 runs for seven wickets through that phase, losing shape against pace-off and hard lengths. Chris Jordan’s 2/5 strangled any reset, and Clark’s 3/26 ensured wickets kept arriving instead of partnerships; Kent’s last push amounted to just 4/2 at the death.

Roy and Clark set tone

Roy’s 50 off 29 was the chase’s statement, turning a modest target into a non-event, while his 63-run partnership with Philippe removed any early nerves. Philippe played the steady foil as boundaries flowed around him, and Laurie Evans’ 25 off 9 provided the late jolt that finished it quickly. But the result was built earlier: Clark’s timely strikes, backed by Jordan’s miserly spell, converted a decent Kent start into a total Surrey could demolish.

Surrey’s strengths show up

Pre-match, Surrey’s edge looked like a blend of form and depth, and the game followed that script once the ball stopped coming on. Kent’s one projected advantage — tighter powerplay control — never materialised because Surrey’s top order attacked from the start, racing to 73/1 in the first six. With such a small target, Surrey’s stronger recent rhythm and batting firepower meant there was little room for Kent to claw back through match-ups or squeeze.