Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Warwickshire lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, Glamorgan chased down Warwickshire’s total and won by 7 wickets with 7 balls remaining. The game was defined by Glamorgan reaching 187/3 while Warwickshire finished on 184/4, leaving WAR short despite batting through the innings. Across the last three, results have swung, but WAR have still taken two of them.

GLGlamorgan 187/3

WAWarwickshire 184/4

2026-07-03 · GLA won by 7 wickets (with 7 balls remaining)

WAWarwickshire 142/9

GLGlamorgan 129/8

2020-09-11 · WAR won by 13 runs

GLGlamorgan 140/9

WAWarwickshire 141/4

2020-08-30 · WAR won by 6 wickets (With 7 balls remaining)

Warwickshire

Warwickshire are 13th in the T20B Regular Season with 16 points, going 4W-6L with a +0.338 NRR. Their last three matches include two wins, highlighted by a 30-run victory over Gloucestershire after posting 203/5. They also hammered Sussex by 76 runs, but that run was interrupted by a loss to Glamorgan in between.

WAWarwickshire 203/5

GLGloucestershire 173/6

2026-07-05 · WAR won by 30 runs

WAWarwickshire 184/4

GLGlamorgan 187/3

2026-07-03 · GLA won by 7 wickets (with 7 balls remaining)

WAWarwickshire 198/3

SUSussex 122/10

2026-07-01 · WAR won by 76 runs

Glamorgan

Glamorgan are 10th in the T20B Regular Season with 20 points, sitting at 5W-5L with a +0.018 NRR. Their last three matches show a slide, with back-to-back defeats after their win over Warwickshire. The most telling result was being beaten by 53 runs by Northamptonshire after being bowled out for 164.

GLGlamorgan 164/10

NONorthamptonshire 217/7

2026-07-08 · NOR won by 53 runs

GLGlamorgan 146/10

WOWorcestershire 161/9

2026-07-05 · WOR won by 15 runs

GLGlamorgan 187/3

WAWarwickshire 184/4

2026-07-03 · GLA won by 7 wickets (with 7 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Warwickshire, with WAR rated 55–57% and a 56% average. Bookmakers agree, pricing WAR at 58% (1.65) vs GLA at 42% (2.25). Key stats narrowly lean WAR 4-3, driven by their edge in recent head-to-head and better run-rate profile in the powerplay and middle overs. The swing factor is whether Glamorgan’s stronger points tally and better death economy can overturn WAR’s overall control phases.

Yates sets up the heist

Robert Yates made the chase feel inevitable, then made it tense, powering Warwickshire to a four-wicket win with one ball left. His 72 off 40 gave the pursuit shape from the start, and even when Glamorgan’s late squeeze threatened to flip it, Warwickshire had enough in the bank to stagger home at 191/6. Glamorgan’s 188/4 had carried real weight thanks to a clean finish, but Yates’ early damage meant the target never quite escaped.

Powerplay punch proves decisive

The game was effectively won in the first six overs of Warwickshire’s reply. They flew to 69/1 in the powerplay (11.5 an over), a 10-run head start on Glamorgan’s 59/1, and that gap mattered when the chase tightened late. Warwickshire were merely steady through the middle (81/3 at 8.0), but the powerplay burst meant their death-overs requirement stayed manageable even as wickets fell and boundaries dried up.

Yates, Kellaway shape the finish

Yates was the innings’ heartbeat: rapid enough to cash in early, composed enough to keep the chase moving when Glamorgan hit back. For the visitors, Ben Kellaway’s 3/35 was the reason it went down to the final delivery, repeatedly breaking partnerships and forcing new batters to start under pressure. Usman Tariq’s 2/26 also mattered earlier, keeping Glamorgan’s middle overs from becoming a launchpad despite Dickson’s 55 and Smale’s 58.

Pre-match edges show up early

The pre-match lean towards Warwickshire was built around control of the key phases, and the chase followed that script. Glamorgan’s stronger late-innings numbers did appear — they struck 43 without loss at the death, and then Kellaway’s spell threatened to steal it back — but Warwickshire’s superior run-rate profile up front decided the terms. Once Yates and Beau Webster put on 69, Glamorgan were chasing the game’s tempo rather than setting it.