Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

There are no previous meetings between The Blaze W and Somerset W.

The Blaze W

The Blaze W are 4th in the T20BW Regular Season with 24 points. They are in a three-match losing run, with their most recent defeat coming by 23 runs against Hampshire W. The last three games have all ended in losses, putting pressure on them to halt the slide.

TBThe Blaze W 128/8

HAHampshire W 151/8

2026-07-08 · HAM-Women won by 23 runs

TBThe Blaze W 147/9

DUDurham W 148/5

2026-07-05 · DUR-W won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

TBThe Blaze W 121/10

SUSurrey W 155/8

2026-07-03 · SUR-W won by 34 runs

Somerset W

Somerset W are 5th in the T20BW Regular Season with 23 points. Their recent form is mixed, highlighted by a 2-wicket win over Essex W with 1 ball remaining. They have one win in their last three matches, keeping them within touching distance of TB-W in the standings.

SOSomerset W 178/8

ESEssex W 177/5

2026-07-07 · SOM-W won by 2 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

SOSomerset W 199/5

YOYorkshire W 210/4

2026-07-03 · YOR won by 11 runs

SOSomerset W 148/6

SUSurrey W 152/8

2026-06-28 · SUR-W won by 2 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Models are split: the ML leans Somerset W 51%–49%, but the model average favours The Blaze W at 58%–42% with three of four models backing TB-W. Bookmakers diverge from that lean, pricing The Blaze W at 64% (1.50) vs Somerset W at 36% (2.60). Key stats edge TB-W 4-2 overall, driven by advantages in Elo and powerplay/death economy, while SOM-W counter with the better NRR and the stronger last-three win rate. The game likely turns on whether TB-W’s recent losing run continues or their bowling control reasserts itself late in the innings.

Knott’s counterpunch settles it

Charli Knott walked in with The Blaze two down early and the chase wobbling, then flipped the tempo with clean, low-risk hitting. Her 63 off 43, stitched to Sarah Bryce’s calmer support, turned 119 into a target that never quite felt safe for Somerset. The Blaze finished at 122/3 in 14.2 overs to win by 7 wickets, even after Charlie Dean’s three-wicket burst threatened to drag the game deep.

Somerset’s middle overs stall

The match was effectively decided in Somerset’s innings between overs 7 and 16, when boundaries dried up and wickets kept interrupting momentum. After 37/2 in the powerplay, Somerset managed only 57/3 through the middle phase at 5.7 an over, leaving their late push too small. Lucy Higham’s 2 for 6 in a tight two-over spell squeezed the scoring options, and even with 24 coming at the death, 118/8 was a total built more on survival than pressure.

Dean shines, Knott finishes

Charlie Dean was Somerset’s heartbeat, top-scoring with 41 from 32 and then striking three times in four overs to keep the chase honest. But Knott absorbed that pressure and picked the moments to attack, lifting the rate in the middle overs while Bryce ensured there was no collapse. Higham’s miserly spell provided the platform; Knott’s finishing touch ensured it was cashed in early.

Bowling control beats recent form

Pre-match talk centred on whether The Blaze’s three-match losing run would linger, especially with Somerset’s slightly better recent results. Instead, The Blaze’s stronger bowling matchups showed up exactly where it mattered: they controlled the middle and limited a set batter’s access to the rope. Somerset’s edge in net run-rate never came into play because the innings never accelerated, and that left their bowlers defending a below-par score.