Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Gloucestershire have won the last three meetings against Worcestershire. The most recent clash was decided by 3 runs, with Gloucestershire defending a small margin as Worcestershire were bowled out in the chase. That game was defined by Worcestershire losing all 10 wickets while trying to get past a mid-140s target. The broader pattern is one-way: Gloucestershire have controlled this matchup across the last three results.

GLGloucestershire 148/7

WOWorcestershire 145/10

2026-06-07 · GLO won by 3 runs

GLGloucestershire 181/4

WOWorcestershire 151/9

2020-09-04 · GLO won by 30 runs

WOWorcestershire 175/8

GLGloucestershire 197/3

2020-08-31 · GLO won by 22 runs

Worcestershire

Worcestershire are 7th in the T20B regular season on 24 points with a 6W-4L record and +0.038 NRR. They are on a three-match winning streak. Their most emphatic recent result was an 83-run win over Kent.

WOWorcestershire 161/9

GLGlamorgan 146/10

2026-07-05 · WOR won by 15 runs

WOWorcestershire 142/7

KEKent 59/10

2026-07-03 · WOR won by 83 runs

WOWorcestershire 180/5

SOSomerset 144/9

2026-06-28 · WOR won by 36 runs

Gloucestershire

Gloucestershire are 5th in the T20B regular season on 24 points with a 6W-4L record and +0.556 NRR. Their last three matches read as mixed form, with two defeats around one big win. The clearest signal was a 57-run win over Surrey, followed immediately by a 30-run loss to Warwickshire.

GLGloucestershire 173/6

WAWarwickshire 203/5

2026-07-05 · WAR won by 30 runs

GLGloucestershire 191/5

SUSurrey 134/10

2026-07-04 · GLO won by 57 runs

GLGloucestershire 184/2

NONorthamptonshire 187/2

2026-07-01 · NOR won by 8 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Worcestershire, with an average edge of 54% (range 52–57%). Bookmakers diverge from the models, pricing Worcestershire at 47% (2.00) vs Gloucestershire at 53% (1.80). Key stats lean Gloucestershire 5-2 overall, driven by stronger NRR and better economy splits, while Worcestershire’s case is built on superior last-three form. The match pivots on whether Worcestershire’s current streak can override a three-game H2H sweep for Gloucestershire.

Dhariwal’s 22-ball blitz

Kamran Dhariwal blew the chase open with a 70 off 22 that changed the mood of the night in a handful of overs, and Gloucestershire held their nerve to win by 2 wickets with six balls remaining. Worcestershire had surged late to 181/5 and briefly had the game in a squeeze when wickets fell in the middle, but Dhariwal’s clean striking meant the target never felt out of reach for long.

Powerplay sets the chase

The decisive gap came early: Gloucestershire’s 53/1 powerplay (8.8 an over) outpaced Worcestershire’s 40/2 (6.7), flipping the pressure onto the home side’s bowlers. That head start allowed Gloucestershire to absorb the mid-overs damage—104/5 across the middle phase—without the asking rate spiralling. Even when Worcestershire slowed the finish to 25/2 at the death, the earlier acceleration meant Gloucestershire could take the safer options and still close it out in the 19th.

Dhariwal, then Hayes’ squeeze

Dhariwal was the clear difference-maker, his 64-run stand with Player 3893 providing the platform that survived the later stumbles. For Worcestershire, Kashif Ali’s 58 off 24 powered the late surge that made 181 feel above-par, while Gareth Roderick’s 44 anchored the build. James Hayes’ 2/14 was the quiet counterpunch—his three overs kept Worcestershire from going even bigger, and those saved runs mattered when the chase tightened late.

Form streak meets matchup reality

Worcestershire arrived with three straight wins and strong home momentum, and their own innings followed that script late: 71 runs in the death overs turned a middling start into a serious total. But the match-up that mattered was Gloucestershire’s ability to score quickly up top, and they did exactly that, taking the game away from Worcestershire’s preferred rhythm. The home side’s plan relied on controlling phases; once the powerplay got away, they were forced into riskier fields and lengths.