Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Across the last three meetings, MI New York lead Seattle Orcas 2-1. The most recent clash was a 5-run MINY win in a low-scoring game where both teams were restricted to totals in the 120s. Seattle were held to 127/9, and MINY got home at 132/8, making it a tight finish decided by small margins. The wider pattern is close and volatile: one match was decided on the last ball, and another by a 7-wicket chase with balls to spare.

SOSeattle Orcas 127/9

MIMI New York 132/8

2026-07-03 · MINY won by 5 runs

SOSeattle Orcas 238/7

MIMI New York 237/4

2025-06-28 · SO won by 3 wickets (with 0 ball remaining)

MIMI New York 203/3

SOSeattle Orcas 200/5

2025-06-19 · MINY won by 7 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

MI New York

MI New York are 4th in the MLC regular season on 8 points (4W-4L) with a -0.200 NRR, currently in the playoff zone. Their recent form has turned downward, with back-to-back losses to San Francisco Unicorns. The latest defeat was a 9-wicket loss with 26 balls remaining, after MINY managed only 143/9.

MIMI New York 143/9

SFSan Francisco Unicorns 146/1

2026-07-09 · SFU won by 9 wickets (with 26 balls remaining)

MIMI New York 104/10

SFSan Francisco Unicorns 105/4

2026-07-06 · SFU won by 5 wickets (with 19 balls remaining)

MIMI New York 168/4

LALos Angeles Knight Riders 165/6

2026-07-05 · MINY won by 6 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

Seattle Orcas

Seattle Orcas are 2nd in the MLC regular season on 8 points (4W-4L) with a +0.230 NRR, currently in the playoff zone. They’ve won two of their last three, including a 9-run win over Texas Super Kings in their most recent match. The one setback in that run was a 5-run loss to MI New York in their latest head-to-head.

SOSeattle Orcas 121/9

TSTexas Super Kings 112/9

2026-07-05 · SO won by 9 runs

SOSeattle Orcas 127/9

MIMI New York 132/8

2026-07-03 · MINY won by 5 runs

SOSeattle Orcas 154/7

LALos Angeles Knight Riders 134/8

2026-06-28 · SO won by 20 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Models are split: the ML model leans MI New York at 53%, but the model average favours Seattle Orcas 56% to 44%. Bookmakers lean slightly to MI New York, pricing MINY at 54% (1.75) vs Seattle Orcas at 46% (2.05). Key stats edge Seattle Orcas overall (4-3), driven by better recent results and stronger run-rate indicators. MI New York’s counter is their 2-1 edge in the last three head-to-heads, so the game may hinge on whether Seattle’s momentum outweighs that matchup history.