

Match Prediction
Warwickshire Women are 7th in the T20BW regular season on 12 points with a 3W-8L record and a -0.527 NRR. Hampshire Women are 1st on 32 points at 7W-1L with a +1.107 NRR and are currently in the playoff zone. Warwickshire’s last three include two defeats, while Hampshire have won their last three. This is a table-top vs lower-table matchup with a head-to-head wrinkle from earlier this season.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Warwickshire lead the last two head-to-head meetings 2-0. In the most recent meeting last season, Warwickshire defended 165/9 and held Hampshire to 149/6 to win by 16 runs. The match was decided by Warwickshire keeping Hampshire short of the target despite Hampshire batting through 20 overs. Across both recent meetings, Warwickshire have consistently come out on top in relatively tight, mid-margin results.
Warwickshire W
Warwickshire Women are 7th in the T20BW regular season with 12 points. Their last three matches show uneven form: a win over Essex was followed by close losses to Yorkshire and Surrey. The most telling result was the Surrey defeat, where Warwickshire made 180/5 but still lost with Surrey chasing it down with 30 balls remaining.
Hampshire W
Hampshire Women are 1st in the T20BW regular season with 32 points and are currently in the playoff zone. They arrive on a three-match winning streak, including a 23-run win over The Blaze. The clearest signal of control was the Lancashire game, where they won by 9 wickets with 33 balls remaining.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Hampshire, with the average projection at HAM-W 65% (range 57–72%). Bookmakers agree, pricing HAM-W at 65% (1.45) vs WAR-W at 35% (2.65). Key stats lean Hampshire 6-2 overall, driven by their stronger season position and recent momentum. Warwickshire’s main counterweight is the 2-0 head-to-head edge, so the matchup tests Hampshire’s table dominance against a team that has already found a way to beat them twice.
Adams’ all-round stamp
Georgia Adams set the tone for Hampshire’s chase, launching a 29-ball 53 that kept the asking rate under control even when wickets fell. Warwickshire had posted a competitive 166 for 5, but Hampshire never let the total settle, riding the momentum through the first half of the innings and then holding their nerve to win by four wickets with an over to spare.
Powerplay burst breaks it
The game swung in the powerplay, where Hampshire raced to 53 for 2 at 8.8 an over, immediately flipping the pressure back onto Warwickshire’s attack. That early surge meant Warwickshire’s late charge — 51 runs in the last five overs at 12.2 — didn’t translate into scoreboard control. Even Mary Taylor’s 3 for 35 could only create brief squeezes because Hampshire had already banked enough runs to absorb a couple of quiet overs later.
Adams and Harman set pace
Adams’ innings was the chase’s defining burst, and her 2 for 21 helped prevent Warwickshire from turning a solid platform into something closer to 180. Nancy Harman’s 49 off 26 formed the key 55-run stand with Naomi Dattani, the partnership that steadied Hampshire after early losses. For Warwickshire, Katie George’s 67 off 49 was the backbone of 166, but it needed more control in the first 10 overs to truly stretch Hampshire.
Pre-match edge shows up early
Hampshire came in with stronger recent momentum and it showed in how assertively they played the new ball, refusing to let Warwickshire dictate lengths. Warwickshire’s best chance was to drag the chase into a tense final two overs, but Hampshire’s top-order intent ensured the target was chased in 19 overs rather than becoming a death-overs scrap. The head-to-head advantage Warwickshire held never really materialised because Hampshire won the tempo battle up front.
SUSurrey W
183/4
WAWarwickshire W
180/5
WAWarwickshire W
161/3
YOYorkshire W
165/5
WAWarwickshire W
119/5
ESEssex W
116/8
LALancashire W
159/8
WAWarwickshire W
160/9
WAWarwickshire W
172/5
SUSurrey W
130/10
SOSomerset W
126/5
WAWarwickshire W
123/8
TBThe Blaze W
151/7
WAWarwickshire W
138/5
DUDurham W
140/5
WAWarwickshire W
113/10
WAWarwickshire W
158/8
TBThe Blaze W
159/6
WAWarwickshire W
166/9
SOSomerset W
167/3
WA2
HA0
HAHampshire W
151/8
TBThe Blaze W
128/8
HAHampshire W
135/1
LALancashire W
131/10
HAHampshire W
131/2
DUDurham W
128/7
HAHampshire W
174/5
YOYorkshire W
132/7
LALancashire W
130/7
HAHampshire W
133/2
ESEssex W
100/9
HAHampshire W
155/4
HAHampshire W
121/8
SUSurrey W
121/10
HAHampshire W
160/7
ESEssex W
137/9
DUDurham W
178/5
HAHampshire W
146/8
SOSomerset W
159/6
HAHampshire W
159/5
HAM-W
10
7-1
32
SUR-W
11
7-3
31
DUR-W
10
7-2
30
TB-W
10
6-4
24
SOM-W
10
5-4
23
ESS-W
10
4-6
17
WAR-W
11
3-8
12
YOR
10
2-7
10
LAN-W
10
2-8
9
HAM-W
10
7
1
—
+1.107
32
SUR-W
11
7
3
—
+0.625
31
DUR-W
10
7
2
1
+0.582
30
TB-W
10
6
4
—
+0.015
24
SOM-W
10
5
4
—
+0.134
23
ESS-W
10
4
6
—
-0.486
17
WAR-W
11
3
8
—
-0.527
12
YOR
10
2
7
1
-0.888
10
LAN-W
10
2
8
—
-0.682
9
HAM-WWWWWW
SUR-WLWWLW
DUR-WNWLWW
TB-WWWLLL
SOM-WWLLLW
ESS-WLLLWL
WAR-WWWWLL
YORNLLWW
LAN-WLLWLL
